bellwether counties epoch times

HOW THE SPECTER OF COMMUNISM IS RULING OUR WORLD. In 2020, Vigo went for Trump by nearly 15 points, roughly the same as in 2016. At 6:30 pm we kick off an evening that showcases and celebrates Ukrainian arts and culture. He likes that Trump upholds law and order amid the social unrest. A bellwether is a leader or an indicator of trends.. In particular, recent research which identified nineteen bellwether counties found that they "tended to be whiter, older, less educated, have lower median incomes, have a lower percentage of workers in the labor force, and have higher rates of vacant housing than the country as a whole." He doesnt seem like a really bad guy. In both of the missteps, the residents wrongly picked the losing Democrat: Williams Jennings Bryan over President William Taft in 1908 and Adlai Stevenson over President Dwight Eisenhower in 1952. The price of gas at the Marathon gas station in Port Clinton was $3.39 a gallon on Feb. 22 whenDave Beggs, anarmy veteran and retired City of Port Clinton heavy equipment operator, pulled in. Thats probably the biggest fear right now when I talk to people. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of the state between Toledo and Cleveland, the area has a population of 40,364, according to the 2020 Census. Ottawa County is on the doorstep of a Democratic stronghold, about 35 miles east of Toledo in neighboring Wood County. 2016 Trump. If he does not answer that issue clearly, I will not vote for him.. You expect the price of things to go up, thats inflation for you, Tammy said. If this thing continues, were going to be paying $6 a gallon for gas, he said. Guests are invited to enjoy live music from The BanDura BanDuo, featuring Angelika and Justin Mehes, a brother-sister musical act, visit the Cheremosh Ukrainian Dance Ensemble's costume display featuring traditional Ukrainian folk dance costumes, and connect with the . The Democrats who are vying for that partys nomination are Morgan Harper, Traci Johnson, and Tim Ryan, who has been serving in Congress for the past 2o years, or 10 consecutive terms. Jim Hoft. The median household annual income is approximately $20,000 less in the county than it is nationally. Former President Trump and his supporters continue to loudly assert that he really won the 2020 election even though all the alleged direct evidence of fraud has not passed the sniff test of local courts, including those with Republican judges. Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020. Growth in recent years has been a challenge, if not nonexistent, he said. Donald Trump 16 out of 39 counties which are considered significant bellwethers. Miller is often faced with tough decisions in his business. He cares about the American people.. Ohios Ottawa County: Staying Afloat as One of the Top Bellwether Counties in the Country. Well just have to wait and see who will go into the building. We need to be safe, and I dont think we are right now.. But the thing that stuck out in my head, every time I read or listened to anything about [Obamas] policies, I saw such a deep revival of division, causing division between the blacks and the whites again, Jacobs said on Sept. 17. I believe in what they call entitlement programs, Hamilton said. County residents had voted for the presidential candidate who won the White House for nearly 60 years, since Democrat Lyndon Johnson won in 1964, according to the Ottawa County Board of Elections. He isnt so sure about Biden. Wolf has allowed for the counting of ballots to continue for three days after Nov. 3, meaning its unlikely that a winner will be called in Pennsylvania for at least a week after the election. Were offering a $250 bonus if someone can work 20 or more hours during their first four weeks of employment with us. Peloton plans to complete construction on the building on its 200-acre property and sell it, but will downsize its workforce. If he wouldve just kept his mouth shut , Im not happy with the way things are now, Beggs added. They were particularly representative in 2012, when the average 1980-to-2016 bellwether county was just 0.8 points more Democratic than the nation. RIDGWAY, Pa.Tucked into a wooded valley in north-central Pennsylvania is the bellwether borough of Ridgway, the county seat . Thus, for some sequences of elections there are indeed, bellwether counties. Hes pleased with the last twoBrett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrettby Trump. And we just want that to continue. Given the global context of Russias invasion of Ukraine, they believe higher gas prices and inflation is coming, and theyre not happy about it. And then you have the Biden folks that are like, This is just nutty,' he said. 'I Should Start Voting'. People need to get a job, get out and work. We have vendors and suppliers we contract with, Chamberlin said. But Myers doesnt think Biden is respectful to Trump either. Westmoreland is the only one in the South; Clallam is the only county on the West Coast, and Hidalgo and Valencia are the only counties in the Mountain West. Because of the current situation, I have to look at our finances and say, Can I get this new truck, can I hire these two to three new employees, can we go into this new line of business? The 19 bellwether counties are highlighted in red. For much of the last decade, historically Republican suburban areas in Franklin, Ohio,. There were lines of boaters with banners and flagsthere mustve been about 2,000 boats full of people participating, Tammy added. He was concerned about the situation in Ukraine. Richard Zulch, an Army veteran who served in Vietnam as a combat engineer from 1969 through 1971 and is the quartermaster for Veterans of Foreign Wars Post 4811 in Bowling Green, said he has been able to see the political landscape from both sides of the fence. "The three potentially competitive races in Virginia with Democratic incumbents could be a national bellwether," veteran Virginia political analyst Bob Holsworth told The Epoch Times. Sam said he has noticed that the farmers arent happy, and their kids have to take a side job in the factory because of the economic situation. Bernard Grofman University of California, Irvine The 2012 outcome seemed to be the beginning of a more robust shift to the right for the countywhile the state reelected Obama, Elk County had already moved on. Sawyer County, Wisconsin, and Clallam County, Washington, have substantial Native American populations, the authors said. Before the 2020 election, Clallam was one of 19 counties with an unbroken record of voting for the winning presidential candidate since 1980. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Its just not that great, Paul said. But as for America, I feel he would do the best job.. It doesnt matter whether you are a Republican or a Democrat, youre going to get a crook. I trust the system implicitly, he said. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Its just stupid, she said. Median household incomes range from $65,000 in Bremer County, Iowa, to $32,000 in Hidalgo County, New Mexico. There are 22 counties in the US that managed to vote for the winning party in every single election from 1988 to 2016. Part of his route is driving up to Detroit and Flint, Michigan, every day. That is, until this year. And then theres Vigo Countyin Indianathe quintessential bellwether that has correctly picked the winner in all but two elections since 1888. Its gone, Jacobs said. Jason Armagost of Mudbeards Bikes and Boards has chosen to stay out of politics and doesnt vote. The way he spoke to President Trump bothers me even more, because hes speaking to my president. From 1980 to 2012, for instance, these bellwether counties consistently voted within a few points of the national popular vote. Hes organizing a Second Amendment rally in Ridgway for Oct. 17 to make sure gun rights are fresh in peoples minds when they head to the ballot box. Wood (population 132,248), and Ottawa, are known as bellwether counties for picking the presidential candidate who wins the White Housebut it is uncertain whether Wood County can maintain that reputation. I quit voting once out of the union.. Miller doesnt hesitate to say that he isnt happy with the current state of affairs and he doesnt know who hell vote for in the next presidential election. Fifteen percent is a very large gap to close, he said. In the May 3 primary, theres also a mix of familiar names with new candidates on the ballot. This year, Vigo went for Trump by nearly 15 points, roughly the same as in 2016. And the thing is, when they have these laws now that they arent enforcing, what good is another law going to be? He predicts that many Trump voters will start to waver in the weeks leading up to the election and will end up not voting. Both Hidalgo and Valencia County, New Mexico, are close to 60 percent Hispanic. Workforce shortages are mostly everywhere, he said. Why is belief in the existence of bellwether states and counties (especially the latter) so strong? Finally, numerical bellwether scores for all 3142 counties in the US were computed based upon the number of . We have so many units that need to be repaired and we cant get the parts. But not only are bellwethers not really predictors of future success, the likelihood of finding long streaks of prior predictive success has gone down. Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. Of the 17 bellwether counties the margin of win by President Trump was 16 points on average! Under a changed political landscape in Ottawa County, Commissioner Mark Coppeler, a Republican, also looked at the bigger picture. Two states have announced recounts. Haotian Chen University of California, Irvine Residents who were asked about any candidate choices tended to be true to their reputation as a bellwether county, with more of a wait-and-see type of attitude of seeing whos going to step up as a presidential candidate in 2024. A state is considered a "bellwether state" if it usually . They also found that high-scoring counties exhibit a geographic trend. In 2016, Pennsylvania itself was wrenched out of its 24-year run as a Democratic sure bet when Donald Trump cleared just over 44,000 more votes than Hillary Clinton and took the states prized 20 electoral votes. Your email address will not be published. They also found that high scoring counties do exhibit a geographic trend. Miller cited seeing some retail and light industrial development around the county in recent yearsa Bass Pro Shops store in Bowling Green, a 1 million-square-foot expansion for First Solar in Perrysburg in 2018, and downtown revitalization in Bowling Green. This year, after seeing the country shut down amid the pandemic, and seeing riots break out in many cities, I just think its time that I should start voting, she said. We need to address the economy and safety and security, Hawker said. The roads are bad, the price of gas is high, its one thing after another. Robert Ellithorpe, an 84-year-old great grandfather, and Navy aviation veteran said he believed the 2020 presidential election was legitimate and Biden received 80 million votes. Taking the pulse in Vigo County, Indiana, which has voted for the presidential winner in all but two elections over the past century, Cara is an Orange County, New York-based Epoch Times reporter. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Hes feeding people, instead of beating them up, to get stuff accomplished. I think everyone has the same opinion that things arent good.. Jacobs, 58, a gift store manager in Ridgway, said she voted for Obama but didnt follow politics closely at the time. Thus it would appear that bellwether. The researchers also mapped all U.S. counties (over 3,000) by their bellwether scoretheir record of voting for the overall winner in each of the previous 10 presidential electionsgiving progressively larger weight to more recent elections. That doesnt make sense to me, Tisdell said. Now, just because my president is Republican, I expected a swing to the right, but what we have nowthey broke the whole pendulum. The Upper Mississippi River Valley and it [sic] surrounding area in particular appears to be an epicenter of these high-scoring bellwethers., Teresa Shepherd stands in front of her daughters house in Seelyvilee, Ind., on Oct. 20, 2020. But Hamilton thinks more changes are needed. As a father, I would be curious about what my kids are doing.. The counties are also mostly small and rural. On . March 1, 2023 8:28 PM PT. Now, being more than $3 a gallon, people are beginning to notice it more as its putting a pinch on their wallets. Tom Wolf overstepped his boundaries during the pandemic. They mostly favor who they believe would be best suited to tackle the issues at hand. Many of its residents include farmers, retirees who love to fish, and more than 3,300 military veterans. The counties tend to be clustered in the Midwest and the Northeast, with only four of the counties not falling into one of those regions, they said. Also, spare a thought for Webster County in Georgia. When there was, we were making money pulling people out of ditches.. I think Trump was the better president, said Beggs, who worked for the city for 45 years. When gas went up that time, our sales went down to zero, Zulch said. He doesnt take the money; hes got the money. Both Hidalgo and Valencia County, New Mexico, are close to 60 percent Hispanic, while Westmoreland County in Virginia is almost one-third black. The county, located along the Illinois border, has a mix of rural and urban demographics. Were a service industry-oriented area. Trump is challenging the results in several states, alleging fraud, voter suppression, and illegal restrictions on Republican poll watchers. You have to take the lesser of two evils.

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